Standing on the Shoulders of Giants: 2008 NFL Recap Week 11
Tuesday, November 18th, 2008
What was the most notable development coming out of Week 11? Was it on Thursday night, when the Brett Favre-led New York Jets took the lead in the AFC East with a monster win over their arch rival New England Patriots? Or how about the much heralded Return of the Savior in Dallas that netted the Cowboys a much-needed victory over their arch rivals, my boys, the Washington Redskins, in the NFC East? Could it be the New York Giants displaying utter dominance over the heretofore vaunted Baltimore Ravens and their top-ranked rush defense? What about he inconsistent Bengals continuing to supply close games against the NFC East, this time battling to a tie against the Philadelphia Eagles? How about the Packers and Colts getting their mojo back with big division wins and the new-look Miami Dolphins on a four-game winning streak and currently tied for second place in the AFC East? Or finally, the NFC North embodying the epitome of mediocrity with three .500 teams tied for first place!?
MiMM NFL Player of the Week: This week the award goes out to Jeff Garcia, the 38 years young quarterback of the surging Tamba Bay Bucs. The Monkey and I are impressed with this guys’ tenacity, guts, improvisation, and play-making ability. Perhaps the most under-rated QB in the league, he has the ability to wield late-season magic that is so integral to teams on the hunt for the playoffs. Two years ago he stepped into the starting slot in Philly when McNabb was down with an injury, rallying his team for the playoffs and proving that he still has a lot of gas in his tank. What is so special about this guy is the dedication and commitment he displays in his level of fitness and vitality. Obviously this guy is doing all he can in the offseason and otherwise to maintain his edge in a young man’s game. The idea that he is two years away from forty years old and playing with this much spring to his step is an indication of the personal pride and self-confidence that he must carry off the field. While not necessarily lighting up the board in terms of stats, he gets the award this week for a big time performance forged out of sheer will power, persistence, and razor-sharp focus to overcome the Monkey Mind telling him he’s too old to compete against a tough Minnesota defense.
MiMM Football Question of the Week: Who’s Better, the Giants or the Titans? With the Giants standing tall at 9-1 and the Titans checking in as the league’s only undefeated team, the big debate on all of the sports talk shows and radio is determining which team is superior. In our rankings system, the Monkey and I only compare teams within the same conference, as that’s all that matters when it comes time to figure out who will be facing off against one another in the Superbowl. So in that case, they can both be #1 in their respective conference and the debate pretty much ends there.
But if you want to dig deeper and really try to determine which team is superior outside of simply waiting for them to meet on the fields of friendly strife come early February, then you have to consider each of their wins (and the Giants’ single loss) in the context of one another’s schedule. Right now it seems like the prevailing opinion is that the Giants are the better team, despite their one loss, which is kind of funny when you think about it, that right now in the NFL for many pundits perfect isn’t good enough, as long as perfection is measured by the win-loss result at the end of each game. Many critics of the Titans aren’t excited about their passing game, and many have written QB Kerry Collins off as a “game-manager” as opposed to a play-maker. Clearly the Giants’ running game is sexier than the Titans’, and everybody seems to be enamored with the Bull in a China shop qualities of Brandon Jacobs, a special back to be sure. Of course one can’t ignore the fact that the Giants exist in the country’s largest media market, so certainly they get much more attention than the Titans. More peope have watched the Giants in action, so it’s natural for pundits and fans alike to rank superior the team they’ve seen more often.
But intangibles aside, let’s look for a moment at the results of each of these team’s schedules:
Giants Titans
W: 16-7 Washingtion (6-4) W: 17-10 Jacksonville (4-6)
W: 41-13 St. Louis (2-8) W: 24-7 Cincinnati (1-8)
W: 26-23 OT Cincinnati (1-8) W: 31-12 Houston (3-7)
W: 44-6 Seattle (2-8) W: 30-17 Minnesota (5-5)
L: 14-35 Cleveland (4-6) W: 13-10 Baltimore (6-4)
W: 29-17 San Fran (3-7) W: 34-10 KC (1-9)
W: 21-14 Pittsburgh (7-3) W: 31-21 Colts (6-4)
W: 35-14 Dallas (6-4) W: 19-16 Green Bay (5-5)
W: 36-31 Philly (5-4-1) W: 21-14 Chicago (5-5)
W: 30-10 Baltimore (6-4) W: 24-14 Jacksonville (4-6)
9-1: 292-170 (41-48-1) 10-0: 244-131 (40-49)
On the bottom line above you will see their record, points for vs. points against, and the final number in paranthesis indicates the combined records of their opponents, in order to measure “strength of schedule.” I threw out the losses from their opponents that the Giants or Titans inflicted themselves, so as to not penalize them for beating the teams.
As you can see, the Titans obviously have the edge in terms of their record alone and the quality of their opponents is virtually equal. The Titans have allowed fewer points but the Giants have scored more points. In terms of mutual opponents, the Giants struggled against the Bengals, whom the Titans beat pretty soundly. However, the Giants defeated the Ravens by a much wider margin than the Titans did.
In order to measure these factors, let’s assign points for each factor:
Win-loss record: 2 points
Points scored: 1 point
Points allowed: 1 point
Strength of schedule: 1 point
Mutual opponents: 1 point
I am giving win-loss record additional value because obviously at the end of the day, if these two teams were to ever meet to decide superiority, the only thing that really matters is getting that W.
Under the MiMM Compu-Human Superiority Determining System:
The Titans earn: 5 points
The Giants earn: 3 points
So according to the Monkey and Me, the Titans are the superior team.
However, if these two teams were to meet in the Superbowl, we’re predicting a final score (after four quarters) of Giants 21, Titans 21. Huh?
Well, we didn’t just pull those numbers out of a hat, now. We took the total points scored by each team and added that to the total points allowed by the opposing team. We then divided by 2 to get the mean of the total points scored by one team’s offense as compared to the other team’s defense. We then divided by 10 (the total number of games) to get a predicted point total for a face-to-face matchup. The final result for the Giants was 21.15, while the final result for the Titans was 20.7 points. Since there are obviously no fractions of points in actual football, we were forced to round up or down accordingly, netting a tie. This would lead to OT in a potential Superbowl. (Now wouldn’t that be cool?) Since the Giants technically outscored the Titans using our system by .45 points, we would have to give them the win in OT by the smallest possible margin, which in our estimation would be a field goal (as it would be virtually impossible for the Giants to score a safety in OT). Thus, the final score in a potential Giants-Titans Superbowl would be Giants, 24-21 (OT)…
But the Titans are still a better team. Right now.
Will have fun with this again at the end of the season if these teams are both able to continue their winning ways.
Now, onto the recaps…
G-Men Gain Ground Against Ravens: In a game that pitched an unstoppable force against an immovable wall, the Giants’ Ground Game was too much for the top-ranked Baltimore rush defense. The Giants are not only proving themselves to be the top team in the NFC and possibly a more complete team than the undefeated Tennesse Titans, but they are also stacking up wins in such a compelling, dominating fashion, that it’s difficult to imagine anybody stopping them come January. This team is perfectly poised for the playoffs due to three attributes:
1) Their phenomenal defense. The old adage, “defense wins championships” doesn’t just sound definitive, it is. But defense alone won’t do it.
2) A ground game is essential for championship football, due to two factors: the often poor weather conditions that teams must play in during the playoffs, and the fact that defending the run can be damaging and fatiguing and more difficult to accomplish towards the end of a physically grueling season.
3) Big play ability from the QB and receiving corps. What makes the Giants so special is the fact that they are clearly multi-dimensional. Eli and Plaxico or TE Boss can come up with big passing plays, especially once they’ve established the ground game utilizing their many-headed hydra beast of Bradshaw, Ward, and Jacobs.
Giants-Ravens highlights below:
Jet Favre on Path to Fulfill Master Plan Against New England
The NFL Network came up with a doozy Thursday night, pitching the surging Jets against the back-to-earth Patriots in a game that would decide first place in the AFC East. Of course Brett Favre was brought to New York specifically to engineer a playoff run immediately and that’s exactly what he’s doing by securing first place in a huge win over a rival that has caused problems for the Jets for many years. Now at 7-3, the Jets are tied for the second-best record in the AFC, are a legitimate playoff contender, and will get to prove just how dominant their new look combo of run-pass efficiency in a HUGE game against the Titans next week in Nashville. Personally, I’d like to see them take the field in their New York Titans persona, in the first-ever Titans-Titans NFL matchup.
New England fans should take heart in Matt Cassel’s phenomenal performance during the loss to the Jets. He threw for 400 yards and was a coin-toss away from pulling off a big comeback while heading into overtime. The Monkey and I argued for hours on whether or not to award Tom Brady’s replacement with the sought-after MiMM NFL Player of the Week Award, but ultimately decided against it, reserving that honor for players who not only display an ability to quiet the Monkey, but also help their teams achieve victory in the process. The fight for dominance is certainly not over now that the Jets are on top, however. Week 12 features ENORMOUS games for three teams in that Division, with the aforementioned Jets taking on the Titans and the Patriots and Dolphins squaring off an big rematch that may also decide the current leader of the Division. It’s mind-boggling to think that if the Jets succumb to the undefeated Titans and the Patriots make it two losses in a row, the new-look Wildcat Miami Dolphins would be sitting pretty sharing a space with the Jets on top of this interesting Division at 7-4 (I guess technically the Jets would be ahead, due to a head-to-head tie-breaker, but you get my point).
Jets-Patriots highlights below (set to a catchy beat)…
Marion Barber Steps All Over Skins
The last time these two teams met, Marion Barber only carried the ball 8 times and the ‘Skins got the win. This time, the Cowboys prevailed, but not necessarily due to the play of returning starter Tony Romo at the quarterback position. With the Skins leading narrowly at halftime, the Cowboys took control of the game in the second half and did so on the back of Mr. Nasty himself, Marion Barber III. The Redskins defense played admirably for most of the game, as they did against Pittsburgh, in this, the third-straight nationally-television prime time dismantling of the Skins. The D.C. D and special teams did all they could to keep their team in the game outside of scoring points directly. The offense, despite decent field position and many opportunities could not move the ball effectively outside of the initial drive of the game, which yielded a touchdown.
I am not sure the biggest problem the Redskins face is at the QB position. Campbell looked flustered and hurried on Sunday Night because he was under relentless and incessant pressure, thanks to his sieve-like offensive line. His O-line needs to learn how to block in a hurry or what was looking like a dream debut season for Rookie Head Coach Jim Zorn will result in a terrible nightmare for the players and fans who thought this might be the year that the ball club finally turned its fortunes around after a promising 6-2 start. Next week they match up against Zorn and Shaun Alexander’s old team in Seattle, a locale that has provided plenty of heartbreak for the Skins in two anemic playoff appearances over the last three years. While Zorn and Alexander I am sure would like nothing more than to stick it to their old team, Seattle, with their season in complete disarray, might relish the idea of spoiling the Skins playoff hopes. This is a huge game for the Redskins to get their groove back and may very well decide the fate of the remainder of their campaign. The ‘Boys, on the otherhand, get to host the 49ers and Seahawks over the next two weeks and could very easily emerge at 8-4 for their game against Pittsburgh. Marion Barber is playing championship football. Let’s see if the rest of the ‘Boys will too.
Monkey Watch: Week 12
The most compelling matchups in Week 12 for us begin with the Jets-Titans game. With the Jets attempting to prove that they not only deserve to be atop the AFC East, but also in the conversation as one of the top teams in the entire AFC, they will have no better stage to make their case than against the 10-0 Tennesse Titans.
I am also excited about the rematch between the Dolphins and the Patriots. This AFC rivalry is meaningful again and there is no doubt the Pats would like nothing more than to put their early season embarrassing outing to rest for good. Both teams have improved since the first affair and football fans eagerly await what new tricks either team will have in store for one another.
Finally, I am intrigued by the Giants-Cards scrum in the desert. Certainly Kurt Warner would love to beat the team that kicked him to the curb a few years back and the Giants defense, returning to the scene of their epic trouncing of the Patriots in last year’s Superbowl, are eager to prove that they are all that against the Greatest Show on Turf Version 2.0.
Until then…



















